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		<title>Infidelity</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/22/infidelity/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2009 13:28:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[sex]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#8216;How much will that be Dave?&#8217; &#8216;Call it ten bucks mate&#8217;. Dave loved to give discounts to people he liked. Especially when it was someone else&#8217;s beer he was selling. &#8216;So when does the bar close tonight?&#8217; Dave&#8217;s heart sank as he considered how tired he was, and given it was only 8 o clock, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=39&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8216;How much will that be Dave?&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;Call it ten bucks mate&#8217;.</p>
<p>Dave loved to give discounts to people he liked. Especially when it was someone else&#8217;s beer he was selling.</p>
<p>&#8216;So when does the bar close tonight?&#8217;</p>
<p>Dave&#8217;s heart sank as he considered how tired he was, and given it was only 8 o clock, how tired he would be.</p>
<p>&#8216;Stop serving 2:30. You gotta get outta here by 3&#8242;</p>
<p>&#8216;Cheers, Dave&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;What can I get you?&#8217; Dave enquired to a slender blonde whose perky young breasts, that looked almost sharp to the touch, had not failed to capture his attention whilst he was pouring the previous beer&#8230;.</p>
<p>Just another Saturday night at the rugby club. Dave didn&#8217;t even play rugby. Loved to watch it. Loved the animal nature involved in smacking yourself against another man, in an effort to gain territory. The way a dog might pee on a bush, previously peed on by another dog. Dave did not mind working at the bar normally.</p>
<p>Plenty of opportunity to have a few sly drinks, plenty of cleavage to observe and most of all, tax free pay.</p>
<p>His pay had just gone up from $10 an hour to $12 an hour, which, for a university student, was the difference between no-name and Heinz baked beans!</p>
<p>As the night dragged on, Dave&#8217;s energy levels, concentration and motor skills began to fail. S</p>
<p>ensing this, James, the manager of the rugby club, suggested he and Dave have a little &#8216;chat&#8217; outside.</p>
<p>&#8216;Whats up dude?&#8217; he enquired</p>
<p>&#8216;Aw. Shit. I&#8217;m sorry mate. Just buggered. Worked all day today in the Persian Rug store, and stressed out of my mind about this Property Law paper that&#8217;s due on Monday&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;Ah&#8217;, counselled James, Jim to his mates, but not to Dave, yet &#8216;what would you say to a little goey?&#8217;</p>
<p>A smile creeped across Dave&#8217;s dial as he nodded. &#8216;Hello, little goey&#8230;&#8217;</p>
<p> </p>
<p>&#8216;Here you go son. Just a bit. Not like last time, ok?! I&#8217;ll fix it up out of your pay&#8217;</p>
<p>Dave recalled a bit of what happened last time he bought speed from James.</p>
<p>It was a messy messy night. Almost instantly, Dave felt buzzy. Not out of control like last time. That batch must of been laced with speed or e.</p>
<p>This was more of a pure rush. Like you get from stealing some poor kid with ADHD&#8217;s ritalin.</p>
<p>Dave felt like he couldn&#8217;t stay still. Back at the bar, drinks were poured in rapid succession.</p>
<p>Dave hated pouring Guiness at the best of times. Now, the wait for the sediment to settle seemed to take an eternity.</p>
<p>Dave was juiced up! As the night wore on, the Super 12 game on the big screen came to an inevitable conclusion.</p>
<p>The Auckland Blues had beaten the Queensland Reds in a way that was most uncharitable, to the elation of a large Maori and Samoan contigent.</p>
<p>Tank, the senior team Hooker, was far less amused, and ordered another beer, with a tequila slammer. &#8216;Where&#8217;s your woosa tonight?&#8217; Tank was referring to Dave&#8217;s girlfriend who had come to the club last Saturday night, on her way back from a party with friends.</p>
<p>Dave&#8217;s girlfriend had rather large breasts, and these were certainly noticed as she walked into the club rooms, sporting a new wonderbra.</p>
<p>A present from Dave. A present, he joked, that kept on giving.</p>
<p>As Dave was busy, Jane had been left to her own devices with Lindsey, her part Scottish friend with almost identical chest measurements.</p>
<p>They had joked with, and teased a bunch of slightly tipsy rugby players.</p>
<p>This culminated in one of them grabbing Jane on the breast, unbeknownst to Dave. It was, however, brought to his attention when Jane put her cigarette out on the poor guy&#8217;s neck!</p>
<p> Dave had to interject in the situation, put Jane and Lindsey in a taxi and provide a free round of drinks to the groper and his mates.</p>
<p> &#8217;Ah, she&#8217;s away with the family for a week. Left for Ararat yesterday&#8217;, Dave informed Tank.</p>
<p> Tank audibly laughed &#8216;Game on then bro!&#8217;. Big smile across his face.</p>
<p>&#8216;Yeah. Something like that&#8217; replied Dave. Dave loved Jane.</p>
<p>There was no doubt about that. Hadn&#8217;t he just used his birthday money from his Aunt to get Jane a tv for her dorm at college? Hadn&#8217;t he given up the chance to make out with dozens of first year girls, as president of the sports council for the entire university?</p>
<p>Such a role, came with perks. And blowjobs. Dave had never cheated on Jane.</p>
<p> But for some reason, Tank&#8217;s words reverberated in his head that night. Maybe it was the speed as well. Maybe it just didn&#8217;t help to see several young, beautiful couples hooking up in one place. Maybe that goey was lace with e&#8230; Closing time came and went.</p>
<p>The usual suspects complained about Dave&#8217;s fascist closing policy. How one more drink wouldn&#8217;t violate the club&#8217;s licence and how Dave should provide them with a lift home.</p>
<p>This was something Dave offered to some people, but after seeing Tank vomit all over his pants, it was not an offer that was forthcoming on that evening. Driving home, the speed was still in Dave&#8217;s bloodstream.</p>
<p>Suburban speed limits seem so slow when you heart is beating at 140 beats per minute and your pupils are the size of kittens. Dave spied the golden arches on Smith Street, when he was nearly home, and took advantage of the 24 hour drive through service they provided.</p>
<p>Quarter pounder? Check. Large fries? Check. Coke? Not now. Oh, check. Strawberry sundae? Check.</p>
<p>Dave had an ability to eat and drive at the same time. Everything except the sundae was fair game. The sundae was consumed as Dave sat outside the college in the carpark. Lights off, munching on the genuine strawberry chunks, as couples returned home from the nearby pubs, arm in arm.</p>
<p>Often a lot more than that.</p>
<p>Last week Dave had interrupted a rather bold couple fornicating on the Master&#8217;s volvo. Dave disapproved of such activities on a volvo.</p>
<p>Use a toyota. Better suspension, he thought.</p>
<p> Dave was certainly a bit frisky.</p>
<p>Wandering up to his room on the third floor of North Wing, Dave passed the computer room, where only hardcore geeks or the genuinely myspace-addicted could be found at nearly 4am on a Sunday morning. Dave was almost at his door.</p>
<p> &#8217;Did JP return that porno&#8217; he pondered, as he planned to release some tension.</p>
<p>Then out of nowhere &#8216;Hey!&#8217; Dave turned.</p>
<p>It was Cassandra. Cassie for short.</p>
<p>Cassie was famous amongst the college for being a bit of a bicycle.</p>
<p>She only tended to go with the most jocky guys, which put Dave&#8217;s odds at marginal. At best. On a good day.</p>
<p>Cassie was also involved in the first &#8216;Dick Mouth&#8217; incident in the last decade of college history.</p>
<p>To be a &#8216;Dick Mouth&#8217;, a girl has to kiss a guy within 24 hours of having another gentleman ejaculate in her mouth. The theory is, that sperm can live for up to 48 hours in a human mouth, and that the second guy in the story, the &#8216;Dick Mouth&#8217;, receives, unwittingly, sperm from the original guy, via the girls mouth.</p>
<p>Sounds, is, totally is, gross. Cassie was the girl in the story.</p>
<p>The second guy would be known as DM for the remainder of his stay in college.</p>
<p> &#8217;Watcha doin?!&#8217; she enquired &#8216;Just going to bed. Had a long day, both at the shop, then the bar&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;Wanna chat?&#8217; she suggested</p>
<p>&#8216;Sure&#8217; agreed Dave.</p>
<p> As Dave&#8217;s room only had one chair, and both were kinda tired, both Dave and Cassie ended up on the bed.</p>
<p>Chattin about numerous topics, including who was sleeping with who, how much of a douche bag the Master was and the poor standard of food in the college hall.</p>
<p>Dave had popped a valium, to ease the comedown, as he knew he had to sleep, and was quite sleepy now&#8230; &#8216;You can stay if you want to&#8230;.&#8217; he mumbled &#8216; But turn the light off&#8230;.&#8217;</p>
<p>Dave drifted off into a deep sleep&#8230;. until around 6am, as light trickled into the room.</p>
<p>He suddenly realised that he was not even under the covers. And that Cassie hadn&#8217;t moved.</p>
<p>&#8216;Lets get under the covers. I&#8217;m fuckin&#8217; freezing&#8217; Cassie let out a soft sigh, as only women can, and slipped under the covers, nestling her firm young ass cheeks into Dave&#8217;s crotch.</p>
<p>Problem was, the nestling hurt.</p>
<p>She was wearing these synthetic, green cargo pants.</p>
<p>Dave had a rule. No pants in bed. Ever.</p>
<p>Dave could live a hundred years and still not understand why he did what he did next.</p>
<p>He slid his hand around Cassies muscular stomach, undid the buttons keeping her pants attached to her body, and slid her pants off.</p>
<p>She was wearing tight black underpants which hugged her bottom like a glove. They gave her bottom the most unimaginable shape.</p>
<p>Dave remembered that shape from when he was taking rowing training, and was stuck behind Cassie for almost a kilometre, watching her buttocks clench, one at a time, in perfect rhythm.</p>
<p>Dave loved sunglasses. &#8230;</p>
<p>Cassie moaned again, and backed her rump into Dave&#8217;s crotch once again, whilst intertwining her fingers with Daves, bringing his hand onto her stomach.</p>
<p>Dave could feel the muscles of her six pack quite clearly. The way a blind man can feel braile.</p>
<p>Dave was totally aroused by now. He even had a dry, salty taste in his mouth. &#8216;Oh&#8217; Cassie muttered as she smiled like a lion, about to consume its prey. &#8216;</p>
<p>What have we here?&#8217; Cassie rolled over and slid her hand down to Dave&#8217;s throbbing member.</p>
<p> &#8217;Shit&#8217; muttered Dave. Caught in a conflicted position, which he resolved in almost an instant.</p>
<p>When would he  find myself in bed with Cassie stroking my boner again? Never. Go for it!</p>
<p>He slid his hand up Cassie&#8217;s shirt and groped her 32C breasts.</p>
<p> They were firm and her nipples were almost as engorged as Dave&#8217;s member.</p>
<p>&#8216;Should we do this? You love Jane.&#8217;</p>
<p>ave did love Jane.</p>
<p> But Jane never made him feel like this. Jane would never marry him. In fact, Jane could be a pain in the rectum at times.</p>
<p>Dave grabbed Cassie&#8217;s other breast, kissed her deeply and ground his phallus into her.</p>
<p> Cassie responded, moving one of Dave&#8217;s hands to her pubic region.</p>
<p>She was not shaved, as Dave had expected. but she was incredibly wet, with fairly long labia.</p>
<p>Dave had never encountered such genitalia and it added to the excitement he felt.</p>
<p>***</p>
<p>Dave and Cassie made love seven times that morning and well into the afternoon.</p>
<p>Dave was so tired afterwards that he had to take the following day off university. He figured he would rather cop a penalty on his law paper, than miss out on Cassie&#8217;s ferocious sexual energy.</p>
<p>Dave and Cassie became a cladestine couple.</p>
<p>Dave would eat meals with Jane, hang out with her, suggest that he was going for a shower, and take the opportunity to make love to Cassie once again.</p>
<p>Like all such relationships, Dave and Cassie knew this must come to an end. Cassie had come to Dave&#8217;s room late one night to discuss breaking things off.</p>
<p>The discussion lasted several hours and the two ended up falling asleep in each others arms.</p>
<p>Dave was rudely awoken by a hoover in the hallway.</p>
<p> &#8217;Bloody cleaner&#8217; he pondered. The shocking realisation that Dave had agreed to go jogging with Jane crystallised rather uncomfortably as Dave heard her voice, accompanied by her knocking on the door with great relish.</p>
<p>Cassie was awake in a flash.</p>
<p>&#8216;Shit. What do we do?&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;Um&#8230; Just be quiet&#8217; Dave&#8217;s plan worked until he heard the family &#8216;click&#8217; of a magnetic key activating his door handle</p>
<p>&#8216;SHIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIT&#8217; Dave lunged for the door, blocking Jane&#8217;s entry.</p>
<p>The cleaner had let her in, knowing that Dave and Jane were an item! Dave suddenly hated good samaritans with the power of mighty Zeus.</p>
<p>&#8216;You can&#8217;t come in. Sorry.&#8217; Dave muttered. WTF was he to do?</p>
<p> &#8217;What? Don&#8217;t be stupid. Lets go jogging&#8217; retorted Jane.</p>
<p>&#8216;No. Gimme 5 minutes. Meet you downstairs&#8217;</p>
<p> &#8217;Stop being a twit and let me in&#8217;</p>
<p>&#8216;No&#8217;</p>
<p> &#8217;No?&#8217;</p>
<p> &#8217;No!&#8217;</p>
<p> Jane stopped in her line of questioning as a driver may brake once realising he is hurtling towards the edge of a cliff.</p>
<p>Dave just heard footsteps running away from his room down the corridor. &#8216;What the hell do we do?!&#8217; whispered Cassie</p>
<p>Dave had no idea what to do.</p>
<p>Seeing Cassie in such a vulnerable state was a tremendous turn on to Dave, and he energetically made love to her one last time, before dismissing her, to come up with an idea to fix the situation.</p>
<p>Jane was nowhere to be seen.</p>
<p>&#8216;Think Dave. Think Dave. Think Dave&#8217;</p>
<p>e had just read &#8216;The Prince&#8217; by Macchiavelli and liked a number of the concepts of this guide to running a sixteenth Century Italian principality.</p>
<p>&#8216;Think Dave. Think Dave. Think Dave&#8217;</p>
<p>Right. First principles.</p>
<p>Whats the problem? Jane is upset</p>
<p> Why is she upset? Because I wouldn&#8217;t let her in the room.</p>
<p> Why wouldn&#8217;t you let her in the room? Because Cassie was naked in my cupboard, hiding!</p>
<p>Why else might you not let her in your room?</p>
<p>&#8216;Think Dave. Think Dave. Think Dave&#8217;</p>
<p>Explosive diarrheoa? NO.</p>
<p>&#8216;Think Dave. Think Dave. Think Dave&#8217;</p>
<p> Something she can&#8217;t see. Yet. Something.</p>
<p>In progress. Something&#8230; for her&#8230; a present?!</p>
<p>The lightbulb in Dave&#8217;s head shone more brightly than the surface of the Sun.</p>
<p>Great! </p>
<p>A present&#8230; What can I get her?</p>
<p> Dave fingered the fresh notes in his wallet. &#8230;. for under a hundred bucks!</p>
<p>Dave was down to his white toyota camry in an instant.</p>
<p>The car hooned down to Cash Converters and within what felt like seconds, Dave was on his way back to the college with a new microwave for Jane&#8217;s room.</p>
<p>He was almost there when his funky new mobile rang.</p>
<p>&#8216;All the honeys, making money..&#8217; sang Beyonce and her more forgettable contemporaries.</p>
<p>The number recognition software in Dave&#8217;s phone confirmed it was in fact, Jane calling.</p>
<p>She had been to see Lindsey in a fit of tears.</p>
<p>She figured Dave was cheating on her.</p>
<p> Dave thoroughly deserved an Academy Award for how convincing he was, when he portrayed the role of the victim in this saga.</p>
<p>The falsely accused.</p>
<p>The unforgiven. A</p>
<p>fter a quick explanation, Jane&#8217;s heartrate dropped and her heart melted like a stick of butter on a warm summer&#8217;s day, she melted into Dave&#8217;s arms and offered infinite apologies for ever doubting him.</p>
<p>&#8216;Sweet&#8217; thought Dave, &#8216;Now I just have to think of an explanation for this rash!&#8217;</p>
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			<media:title type="html">milesjacobs</media:title>
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		<title>Economics needs revising</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/08/economics-needs-revising/</link>
		<comments>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/08/economics-needs-revising/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Feb 2009 06:51:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/08/economics-needs-revising/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Now that Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has hailed in his &#8220;Monthly&#8217; essay a new political era of &#8221;social capitalism&#8221; and embarked on another stimulus package it merely remains to find an economic theory to accompany it. Economics has failed manifestly to see the global financial crisis coming. Only those once derided as doomsayers and crackpots [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=37&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Now that Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has hailed in his &#8220;Monthly&#8217; essay a new political era of &#8221;social capitalism&#8221; and embarked on another stimulus package it merely remains to find an economic theory to accompany it. </p>
<p>Economics has failed manifestly to see the global financial crisis coming. Only those once derided as doomsayers and crackpots were anywhere near the mark. An entire generation of richly-remunerated experts got it wrong, once again.</p>
<p>Even now there is a reluctance to accept that the Global Financial Crisis is, as much as anything, just one big bad property bust. When the economy was veering towards its last meaningful recession in this country in 1991 &#8211; another property bust &#8211; the pundits were collectively predicting growth of 2%-plus. The IMF, OECD, market economists, government forecasters, you name it.  </p>
<p>They were 2% too high. There was recession. Le plus ca change.  </p>
<p>Capitalism has always had a single point of failure:  the interaction of real estate markets and finance. </p>
<p>Parallel universe</p>
<p>Although this had often been noticed &#8211; even as far back as ancient Rome where real estate booms came and went &#8211; it had never been much integrated with macroeconomic theory. The issue was sidelined, somewhat perversely, in 20th century economics, which had pursued 19th century thought ever more deeply into an obsession with gross output and consumption.<br />
In the middle of Paul Samuelson&#8217;s Economics, the thousand-page Keynesian textbook which has been a staple for almost every student in high school and university, the impact of real estate slumps on recessions was noted in a single paragraph, and dismissed. There is no way of connecting financial shocks with Keynesianism, it&#8217;s a parallel universe.</p>
<p>Citing the work of Hawtree, Pigou and Robertson earlier this century, Professor Charles Kindleberger argued that &#8221;the neglect of the instability of credit began by and large with the depression of the 1930s, with the Currency and Banking schools converted to monetarists and Keynesians&#8221;.  More specifically, he claimed that Keynesian and monetary theory are &#8221;incomplete&#8221; and &#8221;misleading&#8221; for leaving out &#8221;the instability of expectations, speculation and credit and the role of leveraged speculation in various assets&#8221;.</p>
<p>In the 1960s, JP Lewis observed, in Building Cycles and Britain&#8217;s Growth, that &#8221;Whereas many books and papers written by economic historians emphasise the role of credit &#8230; economic theorists have strangely neglected them.  Jevons, Hawtree and Robertson &#8230; have made notable contributions in this field.  But the Keynesian and post-Keynesian analysts have been so concerned with manipulating aggregates, and producing bold theories in terms of well-defined macrorelationships, that such awkward concepts as credit and credit shocks have slipped into the shadows of our thought, and create positive nightmares when they re-emerge.&#8221;  </p>
<p>It has only been economists on the far political left, ironically, with their predilection for questioning fundamentals, or regulatory economists and industry consultants like Lowell Bryan at McKinsey&#8217;s in New York &#8211; practical advisers to banks and governments &#8211; who have shown much interest in the idea of recessions as property cycles and credit shocks.  </p>
<p>And even now, mainstream economists are yet to alter their views on macroeconomics to that extent.  Economics is far too political, and its practitioners far too personally invested.  They already know what causes recessions &#8211; the left knows it&#8217;s the policies of the right and the right knows it&#8217;s the left.  Yet the tide still comes in and goes out.  </p>
<p>Where regulators fail</p>
<p>The real reasons that regulation doesn&#8217;t avert recessions are twofold.  </p>
<p>First, there is no accepted macro-economic theory which sees real estate cycles as a cause of recessions. </p>
<p>The oracles of market risk, economists, still rely on trends in output and consumption as the entrails foretelling the future of property markets, so they can only predict downturns at the eleventh hour. For the banks, a long lead time is required for effective risk management, and too late is too late.  </p>
<p>A second and related issue is that for specific transactions, no one owns the right to second-guess markets.  No matter how close we seem to a major bust, a valuation is always valid at the time it was made, because it references the market.  That value is written in stone, until it dissolves in a crash, and only then does it seem it was written in water.  Credit risk has no grounds to second guess future real estate values at any stage of the cycle.    </p>
<p>So equally, two things are certain.  Economic theory has failed to forecast crises with weary regularity, and regulation has failed as a prophylactic. </p>
<p>Despite this failure though to avert crises, macroeconomic theory is remarkably resilient. The reasons are political and personal, and probably habitual. Although proven ineffective and just plain wrong, time and again, John Maynard Keynes offers a useful cover to governments for monetary and fiscal intervention &#8211; a valuable thing in times of crisis. </p>
<p>Keynes validates the mandate for the US to use the World Bank and the IMF as tools for international diplomacy.  He lends radical economists a foundation to change capitalism. And into the bargain, he gives professional and academic economists a good gig.  So don&#8217;t count him out just yet.   </p>
<p>Down for the count</p>
<p>Counting him out, as we lately discovered, is a provocative thing to do. In a piece published here last October, &#8221;Keynes is dead, let&#8217;s bury him&#8221;, we espoused views on the subject. </p>
<p>As we noted then Keynes had no theory of business cycles at all, except to say in a postscript to his General Theory that since he had explained everything, he must have explained cycles. This is effectively repeating Keynes&#8217; own words, as can be referenced in his General Theory.  Keynes&#8217;s actual solution to the recession was simply &#8220;to avoid it in the first place,&#8221; a policy which assumed away asset bubbles.</p>
<p>These claims drew a blusterous response from Keynes adherents around the world. Many seemed to take the Keynes observations as a personal insult. They love him almost as much as his biographer, whose own life reflects a form of hero worship, living vicariously through Keynes, in his old house no less. And since these claims inflamed such debate, their story is worth telling.</p>
<p>As far back as 1990, from the air space that was the 97th floor of the World Trade Centre&#8217;s Tower One, co-author of this article, Andrew Boughton &#8211; then working with Deloitte &amp; Touche in New York &#8211; sent Professor Peter Groenewegan at Sydney University a fax, seeking validation of a thesis called `Safe as Houses &#8230; Safe as Banks&#8217;, along with a curious interpretation of Keynes.  </p>
<p>Groenewegan was receptive and sent a copy to a Keynes expert and former Sydney University Political Economy student, Rod O&#8217;Donnell, now a professor at Macquarie. An &#8221;inverted general theory&#8221; gradually made the rounds of the Political Economy crowd. </p>
<p>A few years ago, University of Western Sydney&#8217;s Professor Steve Keen took up the cudgels for real estate and finance, supported by the theories of Minsky and colleagues back at the Merewether Building at Sydney University, having long held an interest in the mathematics of political economy.</p>
<p>Keen, whose predictions of reckless leverage and speculation in recent years have been vindicated overall through the present credit crisis, declared this week that Australia was bound for a Japanese-style experience of drawn out recession. Stimulus measures were not resolving the problem, he said, simply adding to the Government debt.  </p>
<p>The same theme was current in Boughton&#8217;s earlier work, along with other correspondents in the United States such as Charles R Morris and Lowell Bryan, though he differs from Keen on the role of government. </p>
<p>While citing Marx on the proclivity of the &#8221;parasites&#8221;, the banks, to &#8221;periodically despoil industrial capitalists&#8221; and &#8221;interfere in actual production&#8221;, Keen noted that he did not expect capitalism to collapse.</p>
<p>Karl Marx, I presume</p>
<p>For many on the left, however, the current crisis is a first-rate opportunity to prove capitalism is a failure, from end to end.  </p>
<p>The far left wants to change contemporary capitalism and all human relations. So to them. the core issue is not dysfunctional finance, but finance per se.  Though the majority of workaday Keynesian economists would not agree, to the reformists who actually understood him, Keynes has always been an acceptable face for that agenda.&#8221;  </p>
<p>Deep in Merewether, while Marx may be long gone the quest for the origins of the original demon, Capital, among the thickets of capitalism continues. A political economist searches like an immortal Livingstone, forever seeking the source of the Nile in the African jungles. Or an undead Keynes, who, as part of the character of Dickon in HG Wells&#8217; The World of William Clissold, is still &#8221;thrusting in a sullen, persistent way through a dark jungle of finance &#8230; in search of something vulnerable&#8217;.&#8221;</p>
<p>Criticising Keynes as a liberal fascist makes no friends in Political Economy.  Even if crude Marxists see Keynes as the enemy for allegedly &#8221;saving capitalism,&#8221; deeper Marxist academics like Professor Frank Stilwell acknowledge a debt to Keynes and Mosley.  Thus in a recent doom and gloom media interview (&#8221;It&#8217;s a depression, I&#8217;m afraid&#8221;),<br />
University of Western Sydney&#8217;s Steve Keen, sported a t-shirt with a quote from Keynes, though only Gerard Henderson seemed to have really noticed.  </p>
<p>Devil&#8217;s own bankers</p>
<p>In a soon to be released work on Keynes and fascist economics, co-author Boughton quotes the hitherto hidden appearance of JM Keynes in Wells&#8217; bible of the progressive left, at some length, and years ago even unearthed film footage of Keynes meeting with Henry Ford in Greenfield Village, Michigan, in 1925 in the visit referred to by Wells in the midst of the following passage:  </p>
<p>&#8221;Dickon grapples now day and night with the mysteries of what he calls the Money Power.  To release our dear Lady of Business from the paralysing grip of the Creditor is the final quest of his life. He is thrusting in a sullen, persistent way through a dark jungle of finance round about her in search of something vulnerable. He believes there is a concrete dragon somewhere in that darkness to be slain, and if so he will slay it.  Wherever there is a promise of light upon these obscurities Dickon goes.  Last November he was in Detroit in earnest conference with Henry Ford, who possessed, he thought, a peculiar point of view and special experiences about the evil thing.  He crossed the Atlantic in winter for that.  And he is developing an angry, industrious patience with currency and credit theorists.  When he catches me in England he makes me talk about them.  He wrangles with me and will not be denied.  He talks now about money just as he used to talk once about advertisement &#8211; continually, with his heart as deeply in it &#8230;&#8221; </p>
<p>As is evident in Keynes&#8217; own letters, Wells reports him as viewing bankers as the devil incarnate, with their mindless refusal to join the Wellsian &#8221;Open Conspiracy&#8221; for the greater pubic good.  </p>
<p>&#8221;Apparently he cannot wring anything fundamental out of the bankers.  I have heard him in his wrath denouncing them as &#8216;beastly little Abacuses; rotten little roulette wheels, bagging the odd zero chance.&#8217; He clings to it that they are automata and have not the least idea of their role in the general economic life of the world. He compares them with the Freemasons, who &#8216;had some sort of a secret once and have forgotten it.&#8217;  He talks of &#8216;going into banking&#8217; to find out.&#8221;</p>
<p>Better material for the Open Conspiracy were practical men of business and science like Henry Ford and Viktor Rothschild, the latter having befriended Keynes since Cambridge, as an Apostle, and having left the family&#8217;s banking business for a life in industry and defence technology.  </p>
<p>Anti-Semitic tilt</p>
<p>And as with Ford and Marx, Keynes&#8217; private world was filled to the brim with anti-Semitic banking rhetoric.  Even his formal economics is replete with that catchcry of the Nazis, &#8221;hoarding&#8221;, and his essays with &#8216;making the Rentiers &#8221;disgorge&#8221; their ill-gotten gains.  </p>
<p>When Keynes dined with Albert Einstein in Berlin he was sure that &#8221;He is that kind of Jew &#8211; the kind which rarely has its head above water, the sweet, tender imps who have not sublimated immortality into compound interest.&#8221;  High praise indeed.  &#8221;Yet if I lived there&#8221;, he continued, &#8221;I felt I might turn anti-Semite.  For the poor Prussian is too slow and heavy on his legs for the other kind of Jews, the ones who are not imps but serving devils, with small horns, pitch forks, and oily tails.  It is not agreeable to see a civilization so under the thumbs of its impure Jews who have all the money and the power and the brains &#8230;&#8221;  </p>
<p>This is probably not the Keynes our correspondents, indignantly defending Keynes&#8217; liberalism after our earlier piece, had in mind. Lest this be thought merely a sign of those times, bear in mind it led like-minded colleagues and friendly protagonists like Shaw and Wells to write this kind of thing, even in the late stages of World War II:</p>
<p>&#8221;The statesman &#8230; must regulate the lives of the people on the assumption that &#8230; up to a certain point for all purposes, women are all alike and men are all alike, though in fact none of them are quite alike.  He must draw the lines between the classifications, and persecute or kill people on one side of the line and encourage and promote those on the other.  And when he comes to the artist classification he, seeing the artists are the most effective propagandists, must make up his mind as to what doctrines to forbid and what to tolerate.&#8221; (Source: George Bernard Shaw, Everybody&#8217;s Political What&#8217;s What?, London, 1944.  Quoted in `GBS In Extremis&#8217;, a review in The New Republic, September 20, 1944, p. 666-7.)</p>
<p>Or &#8221;The Nazi movement is in many respects one which has my warm sympathy; in fact, I might fairly claim that Herr Hitler has repudiated Karl Marx to enlist under the banner of Bernard Shaw.  You can therefore imagine my dismay when at the most critical moment Herr Hitler and the Nazis went mad on the Jewish question.&#8221;  (Gibbs, p. 355, quoting an interview with Haydon Church, Sunday Dispatch, June 4th, 1933).  Not because this was unjustified, but politically unwise. A wiser way to contain the threat was to create a Jewish state. &#8221;The Jews are worse than my own people.  Those Jews who still want to be the chosen race (chosen by the late Lord Balfour) can go to Palestine and stew in their own juice.  The rest had better stop being Jews and start being human beings.  This is the real enemy, the invader from the East, the Druze, the ruffian, the oriental parasite; in a word: the Jew.&#8221; (London Morning Post, December 3, 1925)</p>
<p>Aside from the distasteful nature of this sort of vast psychological projection &#8211; and the fact that the Nazis were fulfilling the harsh endgame of British liberal fascism &#8211; the real objection to Keynes, as with his opponents, is that they never focused on mundane real world events outside their own political dramas, on which their mathematical modelling should have been based.  They were probably not that much interested. Keynes is often said to have been an excellent mathematician. To have added a couple of self evident ideas to flawed models, as economists do, is pointless.  On a road trip you might as well say: &#8221;Sure we&#8217;re still lost, but we&#8217;re in a faster car now and we&#8217;re making great time.&#8221;   </p>
<p>Real estate at the centre</p>
<p>At the Big Four audit firm KPMG in 1994, a senior audit partner in banking, John Buttle, sponsored and co-authored a paper with Boughton called &#8221;Real Estate, Banking &amp; Business Cycles&#8221; in 1994, to see how general theory might look with real estate and finance at front and centre. </p>
<p>This was well received at the time by Westpac, which had neared collapse in the last property crisis of the early 1990s, and Macquarie Bank called in KPMG to help forecast short-term movements in their new property-based securities, which behaved &#8221;differently&#8221; to other securities, a near-impossible task at that stage.  KPMG asked about their portfolio in Asia, which was growing, and gave the same advice as at the KPMG Industry Week Forum, which it was to exit within three years.  </p>
<p>With the same paper, KPMG also approached the then head of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Ian Macfarlane, who lately joined the board of the ANZ, and Dr Claudio Borio, head of Research at the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, which establishes the Basel Risk framework used by bank regulators internationally, including APRA.</p>
<p>They also approached Wharton economists at the University of Pennsylvania like Susan Wachter, Dick Herring and Bobby Mariano, all Keynesians associated with the IMF and Housing &amp; Urban Development in the US.  All were receptive, bar the assault on Keynes.  The BIS was already thinking along the same lines, and has since produced stellar work on the subject. </p>
<p>Yet this economic theory is far from accepted by the academic mainstream, and has yet to make a viable connection with the kind of near-term forecasts created from base data by teams of mathematicians and data vendors like Rismark and RP Data, or Australian Property Monitors and other consultants, or RBA forecasts. </p>
<p>So even now, a revised General Theory centred around metropolitan economics and finance has yet to emerge.  </p>
<p>Fiddling at the edges</p>
<p>This means that the BIS and our local banking regulators face a long road ahead before truly drafting any regulations which can curb the deleterious consequences of real estate cycles.  All they can to do is fiddle about the edges, and lament that cyclical stress testing is not taken seriously by banking executives. </p>
<p>This leaves risk managers in banks devoid of real decision-making authority around real estate portfolios and transactions. Indeed, so much so that in late 2005, experiencing trouble in parts of their portfolio and foreseeing more, the chief risk officers (CROs) at one Big Four Australian bank were reduced to asking a Big Four assurance firm to &#8221;tell their general management&#8221; that property cycles still existed.</p>
<p>&#8221;They believe property cycles have been banished forever&#8221; said the head of property risk.  &#8221;We&#8217;d like someone to tell them it isn&#8217;t true.&#8221;  In the event, the assurance firm demurred, preferring a soft landing.</p>
<p>To what theories and tools have governments resorted? </p>
<p>Now, in deference to the Big Four banks, with their huge commercial real estate exposures &#8211; and the spectre of offshore banks reticent to roll over Australian corporate loans as they head for home &#8211; the Government is proposing to prop up commercial property players with taxpayer money. And so it is that &#8221;Rudd Bank&#8221; has been borne, and &#8221;social capitalism&#8221; is its ideological licence.</p>
<p>Lessons from the Depression</p>
<p>But indeed, surely no responsibility sharpens the senses like that of heading a government in a Depression. It is instructive to revisit at least some political leaders from the 1930s, whose experience equally shows that in dealing with a crisis, pragmatism is everything, though of course some theory to manage its prevention would be infinitely better.  </p>
<p>Jack Lang, the Premier of NSW in the early Depression years and more latterly Paul Keating&#8217;s political mentor, had the greatest clarity of vision over the causes of the Depression, and this was the genesis of KPMG&#8217;s work in the field. Lang wrote in his memoirs an account of the causal relationship between property lending in the 1920s and the Great Depression of the 1930s:</p>
<p>&#8221;During my lifetime, I have been through two great depressions. The first was the Big Bank Smash of 1893. The second was the Great Depression of 1929-32 &#8230; after both there were pledges that they could never happen again.<br />
&#8230; the events leading up to [both] were so similar &#8230; First came the Great Boom &#8230; The State debt appeared to have no limits &#8230; But biggest of all was the Land Boom.  It was a new kind of gold fever &#8230; Everyone wanted to own land. There were fabulous stories of fortunes made buying and selling land.<br />
At the same time, builders were pushing up all kinds of structures &#8230; Fancy prices were obtained for these dwellings from home-hungry families. So prices went up and up.<br />
To finance these land sales and building projects, a large number of building societies were established &#8230; The societies worried little about costs or valuations. They had the money to lend, and out it went. The private banks found themselves in competition with these societies, so joined in the mad scramble to provide accommodation.<br />
Borrowers didn&#8217;t worry much about their prospects of paying back the loans. They believed that the Boom was bound to last.<br />
Boom, Borrow and Bust &#8230; First a number of the Land and Finance companies failed. Depositors lost their money, and those building homes were unable to complete them.<br />
Of course there were the usual promises that the banking system would be reformed.&#8221;</p>
<p>Lang was regarded as a radical firebrand in his day, and was accused by his opponents, particularly at the conservative Bulletin, of being a communist.</p>
<p>Yet he was a solid Labor conservative by today&#8217;s standards, and had an eminently practical grasp not only of the causes of the Depression, but of the political possibilities of his situation.  He had been a lawyer and a real estate auctioneer, and understood the business well.</p>
<p>While his scope to act was not as broad as today, it also became clear to him that a confluence of forces made the situation almost intractable, no matter what governments might attempt in practice or in theory.  Deflation, the death spiral of our system, was almost inevitable. </p>
<p>Lang&#8217;s memoirs were released in the later stages of the 1958-62 recession. A decade after came the crash of the early 1970s, a relatively minor recession in the early 1980s, the property crash and recession of the 1990s, and now the GFC. To paraphrase Lang, the events of each were strikingly similar.  </p>
<p>Depression responses</p>
<p>The approach of the US Government was similar to Lang&#8217;s, and found support from Keynes.  While Roosevelt is usually seen as the Great Big Spender with his New Deal, it was his predecessor, the Republican president Herbert Hoover, who spent bigger before Roosevelt came on the scene, for which the conservative political historian, Paul Johnson, took him to task.  </p>
<p>&#8221;From the very start &#8230; Hoover agreed to take on the business cycle and stamp on it with all the resources of government. &#8221;No president before has ever believed there was a government responsibility in such cases,&#8221; Hoover wrote &#8221;&#8230;. there we had to pioneer a new field&#8221;.<br />
&#8221;He resumed credit inflation, the Federal Reserve adding almost $30 million to credit in the last week of October 1929 alone. In November, he held a number of conferences with industrial leaders in which he extracted from them solemn promises not to cut wages; even increase them if possible &#8211; promises kept until 1932. Keynes, in a memo to Britain&#8217;s Labour Prime Minister, Ramsay MacDonald, praised Hoover&#8217;s record in maintaining high wage-levels and thought the Federal credit-expansion move had been &#8216;thoroughly satisfactory.&#8217;<br />
&#8221;Indeed in all essentials, Hoover&#8217;s actions embodied what would later be called a &#8216;Keynesian&#8217; policy.&#8221;</p>
<p>Commenting as an historian, Johnson would have favoured Andrew Mellon&#8217;s strategy of deflation to propping up bad businesses, perhaps similar to Malcolm Turnbull&#8217;s approach today.  </p>
<p>Yet the fact that banks were not guaranteed during the Depression was unquestionably a factor making it more severe and prolonged, and moreover, if by and large the rest of the business community was on the receiving end of a credit and asset shock, its failure as the Depression took hold was not so much bad business as bad luck.  </p>
<p>Brilliant as his work may be in many respects, Johnson may also have erred in suggesting, in contrast to Keynes as well as recent history, that high interest rates rather than artificially low rates would have killed off the stock market boom of the 1920s.  </p>
<p>Land speculation</p>
<p>Other historical evidence vividly corroborates Jack Lang&#8217;s observations.  Each major recession and banking crisis in Australia, from the establishment of commercial banks in the 1840s to the present, has been either directly precipitated or profoundly deepened by speculation in land and housing, often associated with railway construction.</p>
<p>Theories about finance, property investment and recessions began to emerge throughout the 1870-1940 period but never achieved a viable nexus with industrial theory. Astute observations were made by economists during the Great Depression on these relationships. </p>
<p>An American text, first published in 1937, gave a clear description of the association between the growth of real estate loans extended by commercial banks in the US in the 1920s on inflated property values, and the onset and duration of the Depression.</p>
<p>&#8221;&#8230; the causes of many [Federal Reserve System] member bank failures were to be found in changes which took place in the nature of the loans and investments handled by these banks between 1921 and 1929.<br />
&#8221;&#8230; one type of loan seems to have been slighted during this period of rapidly expanding loans and investments. &#8220;All other loans,&#8221; which include all ordinary commercial loans to business &#8230; remained virtually constant during the period &#8230; Whatever the specific causes may have been, it is an undeniable fact that, despite a 48% increase in total loans and investments, the member banks were performing their principal function of providing short-term business credit no more briskly at the end of the period than at the beginning.<br />
But during this period &#8230; bank reserves were plentiful, and the Federal Reserve System &#8230; quite consistently followed an &#8220;easy money&#8221; policy. Since banking is not a profitable business unless bank funds are kept at work, the member banks, in the absence of appeals for ordinary commercial loans, decided to lend in other fields. The identity of these fields may be readily established by reference to Table 36. From 1921 to 1929, member banks increased their loans on real estate by 214%, and their direct securities purchases and other investments by 67%. As a result of these changes, many member banks found themselves by 1929 in a position which raised doubts of their soundness as commercial banks.&#8221;</p>
<p>The data used by these American economists showed that the average rate of yearly increase in the volume of real estate lending between 1921 and 1929 was 17%, or nearly 20% if we exclude the sharp downturn during 1929. The average increase for commercial and industrial loans was zero, and the average for all business loans was 6%.</p>
<p>Other data from the 1920s as well as business cycles before and afterwards reflects the same phenomenon.  The 1960s and 1980s exhibit a similar pattern, once we exclude external funding for takeovers, as do most business cycles in the nineteenth century, particularly when we take account of railway construction.</p>
<p>Psychology takes over</p>
<p>Economists have searched in vain for some aspect of Keynesian general theory to explain broad cycles, and have drawn a blank.</p>
<p>The best they can do is cobble together some abstract psychology &#8211; the idea that general gloom overtakes us in a boom period &#8211; with the self-evident notion that falling consumer spending compounds a general economic slowdown. </p>
<p>Meanwhile government counter-cyclical interest rate policy remains the pre-Keynesian one of raising interest rates to head off a boom, while using Keynes to justify high levels of government expenditure and garnishing their case with the virtues of fiscal policy. </p>
<p>The only other change has been in monetary policy. Realising that raising interest rates creates an international bidding war, the G-7 central bankers created an agreement in the 1990s to avoid such escalation, and have more recently acknowledged deflation as a greater risk than inflation in a falling property market.  </p>
<p>While Keynes was undoubtedly right that raising interest rates would not head off a boom but surely induce and prolong recession, he failed to acknowledge &#8211; for reasons of a long term social agenda &#8211; that the investment resulting from abundant credit leads to chronic asset price inflation rather than industrial production.</p>
<p>Fatal flaws</p>
<p>This is the fatal flaw in his &#8221;system&#8221;.  And his view of causation, that a fall in consumption is due to a fall in consumer and investment confidence, is none the better for then describing the ensuing contractionary spiral.  We all know that expansion and contraction are opposites, and that one is good and the other bad. But both parts of this Keynesian explanation are merely part of the same description.</p>
<p>We should be looking ahead of time for what causes the leading indicator to fall, instead of turning the description of a recession into its explanation.</p>
<p>If we accept that real estate cycles play a significant role in causing recessions and prolonging their duration, rather than following industry into and thence out of recessions, we would expect to see what historic observers have always seen, that a downturn in real estate and construction precedes other sectoral downturns, and vice-versa.</p>
<p>Our definition of &#8220;leading indicators&#8221; may be flawed perhaps. We inadequately separate causative indicators with longer lead-times and symptomatic indicators which appear on the eve of consequent events. The onset of a prolonged economic recession may be heralded by a downturn in construction and retail sales, but neither of these are the &#8220;cause&#8221; of the recession.</p>
<p>The concept of rolling recession emerged in the 1980s, with the idea that different industries experience their own cycles. Being devoid of any explanation for general cycles, however, it was insufficient to demolish the idea that general recessions are somehow caused by the onset of mass psychosis.</p>
<p>The only real change in macroeconomic management to take place during the twentieth century, as Friedman once observed, has been to insure banks against failure during recession.  While governments have professed to be Keynesian but still use the classical theory in practice, which would come as a surprise to most of us, Keynes had the effect of removing our focus from what really causes cycles.</p>
<p>Not all farmland</p>
<p>Traditionally regarded as the problem child of the modern economy, with a manic temperament which renders it unstable, the property and construction sector has been left out of mainstream theory. Quite a feat, as this sector is the largest in the global economy.</p>
<p>Land, labour and capital prevail with capital being industrially-focused and land considered only as farmland.  No urban, consumer and asset-oriented economic theory has emerged either independently of, or in concert with, industry economics.</p>
<p>Even a cursory structural review of the economy reflects a gross imbalance in the industry-centred model.  Real estate and construction activity generally amounts to between 17% and 23% of GDP directly, and in most &#8220;industrial&#8221; economies exceeds the size of the manufacturing sector.</p>
<p>Recent data in Australia shows that even by 1993/94, housing credit relative to Australian GDP was some five times that of thirty years earlier.  Dwellings and other buildings account for 55% to 60% of gross domestic capital formation in most countries, whilst plant and machinery typically constitute between 25% to 30%.</p>
<p>Banks exposed</p>
<p>The activity of the banking sector mirrors this structure in the economy, with real property accounting for a huge percentage of total bank lending. Not including government securities, a quick review of the accumulated and income producing wealth in an industrial economy reveals upwards of 45% of all wealth is to be found in property ownership and trading.</p>
<p>When we view the input-output models of any industrial economy, it is apparent that property and construction accounts for 25-30% of all economic activity on the basis of the value of direct activity, plus those components of manufacturing, services, utilities and government activity attributable to property and construction.</p>
<p>As a cost, rents and mortgages have progressively increased in real terms over the past three decades, while wages have slightly fallen. Industry has become more efficient, and the cost of consumer goods has progressively decreased. </p>
<p>Household expenditure on shelter is now higher overall in most economies than expenditure on food, and in some businesses, it is on a par with the cost of wages.</p>
<p>When we consider that buildings are used in all private and public activity, the inflationary implications of property price increases becomes still more apparent.  Since real estate, like labour, is part of everything we do, it adds to costs at each stage of production, distribution and consumption, as well as feeding directly into wage claims.</p>
<p>In terms of costs, wealth, finance and employment, real property is as important to the economy as the entire manufacturing sector, particularly when we factor in its intimate association with banking and finance.</p>
<p>Given the structure of the economy and the financial system, and the fact that property cycles are far more pronounced and monolithic in nature than industrial cycles, the interaction of property and finance represents the only &#8220;event&#8221; which in itself is capable of enmeshing the entire economy in a general business cycle.  It also represents a completely different set of relationships to that found in mainstream theory, because in this alternate view, industry is on the receiving end, not the initiating end, of business cycles.</p>
<p>Back to basics</p>
<p>What is real estate? The real key to understanding why real estate is so influential is to better define it.  </p>
<p>Real property is at once the major investment and consumption good in our economy. It is also a quasi-monolithic, worldwide market, and despite the huge quality and locality differentials which exist, from an investment point of view it is not dissimilar to the major commodity markets. Unlike other asset investments such as the art market, it is a necessity, and is therefore its price is driven as much by inelastic demand as by choice.</p>
<p>Property is the economic bedrock, providing vital infrastructural support for virtually all economic activity, whether household, government or business. This infrastructure role is intimate. We physically live and operate within real structures. </p>
<p>The function of real property extends beyond the economic and into the social, and indeed structures are defined by economists as one of the three basic economic needs, the others being food and clothing.  All other economic entities are naturally subordinate to these three.</p>
<p>Yet historically in economics, property has been treated as a productive resource, that is, productive agricultural land. Urban property has never been truly defined in economics, except by default as capital investment.</p>
<p>Why?  It is many things to many people. Property resembles infrastructure, involving large amounts of capital, large-scale construction techniques, with large structures left at the end of day. It is an asset which can be traded, and like machinery, the structures depreciated.</p>
<p>The land on which a structure sits, and to a lesser extent the structure itself, is a reusable commodity which is not traded for consumption like other goods, but is permanently re-tradable. It is also fixed in place and cannot be imported or exported.  Like finance, real estate is a facilitator of other economic activities &#8211; commercial, industrial and household.  It is instrumental to being a consumer, trader or producer, but in itself produces nothing.</p>
<p>Yet it is also a direct cost overhead to businesses and consumers, rivalling the cost of salaries in many businesses and the cost of food in many households.  To the consumer it is a major consumption item for which, like food, the demand is totally inelastic.  And it is also a fixed asset which effectively never depreciates, making it &#8211; unlike a car or fridge or stove &#8211; an investment.</p>
<p>Property is also a services and manufacturing industry, which like the motor vehicles industry is of great importance to a host of other basic and complex goods producing sectors which supply it:  steel, glass, aluminium, plastics, chemicals, bricks, cement, lumber and so on.</p>
<p>A huge number of professionals derive their living from the property sector, from architects and builders to interior designers and environmental planners.</p>
<p>Hybrid effect</p>
<p>So property is not exactly a consumption good, nor a capital investment, nor a producer good, or simply an asset. </p>
<p>It is a hybrid of all four, and not surprisingly, its market functions differently to any of them individually.  Its supply and demand works more like that for asset markets than for consumer, producer or capital goods markets.  In these latter markets, as prices rise, an increase in supply brings about price normalisation and thereafter a real long-term price reduction. </p>
<p>In property markets, when prices rise, so does supply.  Prices do not fall to some equilibrium point where demand meets supply because the market has nothing to with supply and demand.  On even a moderately rising market, the whole concept of equilibrium is not only irrelevant, but counter to what is going on.  People are profiting from a perceptual shortage induced by an extraordinarily high degree of trading, as in a bull market in stocks.</p>
<p>Once the bull market is set in reverse, it takes a creative mind to see how it can be stalled. Everything collapses, including the huge trade credit regime threading through the construction supply chain.</p>
<p>Perhaps Professor Stilwell was right in one sense, when he remarked that if we had listened to Keynes and Mosley in the 1930s &#8211; though he meant the more radical rather than sanitised ideas, so we might as well add Hitler and Mussolini &#8211; the Depression may not have lasted so long and ended in WW II.  On the other hand, perhaps Keynes himself is also right, at least in one respect, that the way to cure recessions is to avoid them in the first place. </p>
<p>Ah, if only he had the key. But then, he never went into banking to &#8221;find out&#8221;.  </p>
<p>Are we really going to once more make &#8221;parasitic&#8221; bankers once more the villains of the present drama, with Keynes reappearing as the Saviour, laissez faire relics and angry neo-cons as his foes, and let ourselves off completely?  &#8221;We have met the enemy, and he is us&#8221; said Walt Kelly&#8217;s Pogo. </p>
<p>Where are all those of all political persuasions who were about to make a fortune in real estate a couple of years ago?  Or those with poor credit, at least before low-doc loans, angry that skinflint bankers were locking them out of the property escalator?  All calling to lynch those who gave us the wherewithal to extract abundant wealth in real estate transactions from our neighbours.</p>
<p>The fact remains that until radical economists learn to focus on practical outcomes instead of trying to change human nature, and traditional economists fully accept and develop theories around the work of regulatory economists, and we learn that we can&#8217;t all quit our day jobs to become property developers, it will all be forgotten as before, until next time.  </p>
<p>*Andrew Boughon was formerly Director of Strategic Research &amp; Analysis for KPMG US. He was also a consultant to Deloitte &amp; Touche working on projects such as the reform of the Russian State Banking system for clients like AT&amp;T and NCR.  He is now a principal at Capital C Consulting in Sydney</p>
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		<title>Harden up or&#8230; Perish</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/02/harden-up-or-perish/</link>
		<comments>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/02/02/harden-up-or-perish/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Feb 2009 14:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/?p=35</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What is going on in the world? Banks are entrusted with the sanctity of our payment systems and the stability of our economies. What has happened? Bankers have screwed up! Big time. So make them pay? Nah. We will bail them out. How does an ex-bank employee who just got made redundant feel about his [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=35&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is going on in the world?</p>
<p>Banks are entrusted with the sanctity of our payment systems and the stability of our economies.</p>
<p>What has happened? Bankers have screwed up! Big time.</p>
<p>So make them pay? Nah.</p>
<p>We will bail them out.</p>
<p>How does an ex-bank employee who just got made redundant feel about his tax payer dollars going towards keeping the banking industry going?</p>
<p>Cries of &#8220;the system will collapse if they fail&#8221; are about as useful as a warning signal after the Titanic had sunk!</p>
<p>We tried to nationalise Australia&#8217;s banks back in the 1960s.</p>
<p>People were nearly lynched over it.</p>
<p>Government was driven out over it!</p>
<p>Yet now, when all else fails, the bank turns to its big brother, the government, to save its bacon.</p>
<p>Let them fail I say.</p>
<p>Learn when to cut your investment.</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t make life harder than it already is. But bailing out big time financial institutions whilst senior executives, like at Babcock and Brown,  are outraged that there retention bonuses may not be paid if they are nationalised, continue to be unrepentant, is just idiocy.</p>
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<h2 class="cN-headingPage prepend-5 span-11 last">Let banks go bust: Stiglitz</h2>
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<h5>Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, Davos</h5>
<p><cite>February 3, 2009</cite></div>
<div class="articleBody">
<p>THE British Government should allow every distressed bank to go bankrupt and set up a fresh banking system under temporary state control rather than cripple the country by propping up a corrupt edifice, the Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz believes.</p>
<p>Professor Stiglitz, the former chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said Britain should let the banks default on their vast foreign operations and start afresh with a new set of healthy banks.</p>
<p>&#8220;The UK has been hit hard because the banks took on enormously large liabilities in foreign currencies,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Should the British taxpayers have to lower their standard of living for 20 years to pay off mistakes that benefited a small elite?</p>
<p>&#8220;There is an argument for letting the banks go bust. It may cause turmoil but it will be a cheaper way to deal with this in the end. The British Parliament never offered a blanket guarantee for all liabilities and derivative positions of these banks.&#8221;</p>
<p>Professor Stiglitz said the Government should underwrite all deposits to protect Britain&#8217;s domestic credit system and safeguard money markets that lubricate lending. It should use the skeletons of the old banks to build a healthier structure. &#8220;The new banks will be more credible once they no longer have these liabilities.&#8221;</p>
<p>He said the City of London would survive the shock of such a default because it would uphold the principle of free-market responsibility. &#8220;Counter-parties entered into voluntary agreements with the banks and they must accept the consequences,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>But such a drastic course of action would be fraught with difficulties and risks.</p>
<p>It would leave healthy banks in an untenable position since they would have to compete for funds in the markets with state-run entities.</p>
<p>The British banks have nearly $US4.5 trillion ($A7.08 trillion) of foreign liabilities.</p>
<p>TELEGRAPH</p></div>
</div>
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		<title>Hunting: ?</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/22/hunting/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jan 2009 08:10:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Been fighting my urges to get back into hunting of late. Looking at hunting not in the UAE, but back, at (I guess) home in New Zealand. New Zealand has plenty of animals to hunt.  Most of these, unlike places like Africa, are vermin and are from an endangered species list. Animals such as wild [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=31&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Been fighting my urges to get back into hunting of late.</p>
<p>Looking at hunting not in the UAE, but back, at (I guess) home in New Zealand.</p>
<p>New Zealand has plenty of animals to hunt.  Most of these, unlike places like Africa, are vermin and are from an endangered species list. Animals such as wild boar and rabbits, who destroy farmers crops, possums that just cause havoc, etc.  I am not wanting advice on the ideological positions available in relation to hunting. I think it is excellent exercise and what gets killed, gets used for eating or otherwise.  In any event, these vermin are, well, vermin, and NZ needs to get rid of them.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-32" title="rambo" src="http://milesdavid.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/rambo.jpg?w=450&#038;h=535" alt="rambo" width="450" height="535" /></p>
<p>I am starting to stockpile a few things in NZ, looking at cars, etc., and I decided recently to investigate hunting apparatus. There are basically two choices. Bow or Rifle. The bow is quieter, it means you have to get closer (so requires more skill and exercise)  and is infinitely safer than a rifle. The rifle, is potentially deadly to the user or people in the vicinity,  but is very accurate with little skill and can kill things cleanly.</p>
<p>The last point is of concern to me. I don&#8217;t like to see animals suffer. If I had to shoot something like a fox I would want to pierce its heart and lungs with one arrow. Not make it suffer and squeal and die a horrid death that I wouldn&#8217;t wish to experience.</p>
<p>Bow hunting is a bit of a solitary endeavour which suits me. Is a bit less social, but also it requires a lot of skill to use effectively.</p>
<p>I think I will go with the bow. Like John Rambo&#8230;. and just get skillful before I point the bow at anything!</p>
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		<title>Harold and Kumar go to the CENSOR</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/18/harold-and-kumar-go-to-the-censor/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jan 2009 07:29:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/?p=28</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mind of a revolutionary So clear the lane The finger to the land of the chains What? the land of the free? Whoever told you that is your enemy? This clearly is not a free country. The amount of positive discrimination about the place in all aspects of daily life.  Nothing more gobsmackingly startling than [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=28&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mind of a revolutionary<br />
So clear the lane<br />
The finger to the land of the chains<br />
What? the land of the free?<br />
Whoever told you that is your enemy?</p>
<p>This clearly is not a free country. The amount of positive discrimination about the place in all aspects of daily life.  Nothing more gobsmackingly startling than when you go to see a movie. You pay the full movie price. NZD15 equivalent. You expect to see a whole movie. Not so&#8230;.</p>
<p>I went to see Harold and Kumar escape from Guantanamo Bay on the weekend. It was a fairly funny movie. Until random chunks of the movie were deleted. You can&#8217;t see Harold and Kumar discussing terrorism in jail with some suspected Al Qaeda terrorists. You don&#8217;t get to witness their escape. You don&#8217;t even get to see the punchlines of some of the major jokes in the film.</p>
<p>This sort of censorship is deeply offensive. You put on the news and see a child explode like a watermelon in Gaza (but you don&#8217;t see the murdered children in Israel) yet you can&#8217;t see a fictional, clearly RIDICULOUS movie in its entirety.</p>
<p>On the GAZA issue. I think it speaks volumes that when Israel plan to stop bombing Gaza, Hamas declare that they will not observe a ceasefire and will not stop. Why would they? They have the world&#8217;s attention. Who would give up that?</p>
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		<title>Shadenfreude</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/07/shadenfreude/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 10:42:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Reading the NY Times http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/25/nyregion/25dog.html?scp=7&#38;sq=pit%20bull&#38;st=cse Three cops are trying to apprehend a teenager. They corner the teenager in an apartment. Trying to kick the door down. The teenagers 12 year old dog, who is bred to be fiercely loyal, lays down the gauntlet to the police officers. &#8216;back off&#8217; he warns. Police officers take no [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=21&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Reading the NY Times</p>
<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/25/nyregion/25dog.html?scp=7&amp;sq=pit%20bull&amp;st=cse">http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/25/nyregion/25dog.html?scp=7&amp;sq=pit%20bull&amp;st=cse</a></p>
<p>Three cops are trying to apprehend a teenager. They corner the teenager in an apartment. Trying to kick the door down. The teenagers 12 year old dog, who is bred to be fiercely loyal, lays down the gauntlet to the police officers. &#8216;back off&#8217; he warns.</p>
<p>Police officers take no heed.  Keep trying to get through door.</p>
<p>Dog bites an officer. There. That should do it. Leave  my master alone.</p>
<p>The following was a cowardly and tragic act. This poor dog was trying to block the door when 26 (twenty six) rounds were fired at it.</p>
<p>Enough hit to kill the animal.</p>
<p>Animal control could have been called, the dog impounded or subdued. And it could have lived.</p>
<p>But no. Big tough police officers. It is so much easier to fire 26 rounds at a 45 pound object than it is to resolve the problem.</p>
<p>The shadenfreude, that is, taking delight in the suffering of others, kicks in when you hear that many of the rounds that were excessively fired at the dog, actually MISSED.  Three of the officers have been hit, shot, from richoceting gun fire.</p>
<p>Serves the m right. Illegitimately use of force should be punished by force. In this case. The bad behaviour is appropriately punished.</p>
<p>If it was a collie or a cocker spaniel, would they have shot it? Maybe not. Maybe no one would swallow the story that a house hold pet turned savage and had to be shot like a lowly criminal, when it was only trying to do its job. It clearly loved its master and was willing to die for her. Well. He did.</p>
<p>R.I.P Red</p>
<p>To make matters worse, there were children on the other side of the wall the officers were pumelling with bullets.</p>
<p>Pit Bull Terriers and Amstaffs get a bad wrap. And daily they die due to it.</p>
<p>People are so narrow minded at times. Makes me sick.</p>
<p>Hope these officers have a lengthy and complicated recovery.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">milesjacobs</media:title>
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		<title>Is behaviour transferable?</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/05/is-behaviour-transferable/</link>
		<comments>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/05/is-behaviour-transferable/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2009 11:29:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cruelty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[death]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mistreatment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pit Bull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slavery]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/?p=19</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is the way you treat your pets indicative of the way you treat people? Perhaps. That would suggest, given the behaviour is 100% transferable, that Veterinary Surgeons are the NICEST people in the world. Okay. My contention fails at that point. Maybe positive behaviour and treatment doesn&#8217;t correlate. Maybe negative behaviour does. Ever taken a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=19&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is the way you treat your pets indicative of the way you treat people?</p>
<p>Perhaps.</p>
<p>That would suggest, given the behaviour is 100% transferable, that Veterinary Surgeons are the NICEST people in the world.</p>
<p>Okay. My contention fails at that point.</p>
<p>Maybe positive behaviour and treatment doesn&#8217;t correlate. Maybe negative behaviour does.</p>
<p>Ever taken a dog to the vet, when it was sick. Had the vet put it to sleep. How many tears did the vet then cry? I am picking, not many. What happened to the animal? I am picking dog food if it was big or the trash compactor if it was small.</p>
<p>What about people who are cruel to animals. That like to inflict pain? It is well established there is a link between animal cruelty in children and homicidal or cruel behaviour in later life.</p>
<p>Looking here, in the UAE. Animals are treated appallingly. People are terrified of dogs. Cats scrouge for scraps at the bins all over the cities. They are weak, skinny, anaemic, diseased little animals. </p>
<p>But it gets worse. Dog fighting. There is a nation wide ban on importing Tosas, Dogs, Pit Bulls, even Staffies. Staffies! Why? Because people here use them to fight with. They bet huge money on these dogs. To make it worse, the trainers approach local animal rescue organisations to get hold of nice, placid, domesticated yet unwanted dogs. These are then tied to a tree, and the fighting dog gets to use them to &#8220;practice&#8221; on. Practice.</p>
<p>Practice ripping the ears, flesh, limbs, tendons off a harmless poodle that has done nothing wrong. In its life. It is truly sorry for urinating in the house. It really is. Now it will die. A slow. Horrible death. Gruesome ending that I cant wish on anyone. In the name of &#8216;Practice&#8217;.</p>
<p>Then the main event. Huge amounts of money are bet, a secret meeting place is organised, a pit dug in the sand, the two dogs thrown in. Half starved, full of amphetamines and cocaine, with the goal of destroying the other dog or being destroyed.</p>
<p>Kill or be killed. Sooner or later though. The dogs number will come up. And the former champ who has won his master hundreds of thousands of dirham, will be left alone, in the pit, to breath its final breaths from the nose that it used to lick in anticipation of an evening meal, or maybe a taste of whatever it is the master was eating, which now is half torn off its skull, oozing blood&#8230;.</p>
<p>This is barbaric. You get caught doing this? Probably a slap on the wrist. Dead dog? No bother. Just fill the pit in and see everyone next month.</p>
<p>Pit Bulls are not evil.</p>
<p>I met one on the weekend with horrific facial scarring. It had a hole the size of a small coin, running from the inside of its mouth, exiting just behind its nose. Lovely dog. Adorable.</p>
<p>If pit bulls are so horrific and so evil, why do they get STOLEN all the time from backyards? They love people. Sure, some can be dog aggressive.</p>
<p>But the barbaric practice of dog fighting must stop.</p>
<p>It simply must.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">milesjacobs</media:title>
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		<title>Living in the Age of Canine Fascism : Breed Specific Legislation</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/04/living-in-the-age-of-canine-fascism-breed-specific-legislation/</link>
		<comments>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2009/01/04/living-in-the-age-of-canine-fascism-breed-specific-legislation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2009 07:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Staffordshire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AmStaff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breed Specific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breed Specific Legislation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BSL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Davidson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fascism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fascist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miles Davidson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pit Bull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pit Bull Terrier]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/?p=17</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We have all heard the horror stories in the media. Toddler mauled to death by Pitbull! Cop attacked by Pitbull! Etc Etc Etc Where is the headline that reads: Man Killed by CAMRY! or Woman decapitated crossing HIGH ST!   !?!   What is the government&#8217;s response to this issue? Legislation. Ban pit bulls. Muzzle [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=17&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We have all heard the horror stories in the media.</p>
<p>Toddler mauled to death by Pitbull!</p>
<p>Cop attacked by Pitbull!</p>
<p>Etc Etc Etc</p>
<p>Where is the headline that reads: Man Killed by CAMRY!</p>
<p>or</p>
<p>Woman decapitated crossing HIGH ST!</p>
<p> </p>
<p>!?!</p>
<p> </p>
<p>What is the government&#8217;s response to this issue? Legislation.</p>
<p>Ban pit bulls. Muzzle pit bulls. Sterilise pit bulls. Marginalise pit bulls. Make it so unfashionable to own a pit bull or Amstaff that no one will ever want to again!</p>
<p>This is a shooting from the hip, not thinking first response.</p>
<p>How many dog fights are organised by dogs? How many dogs take bets on dog fights? How many dogs make a living from dog fighting?!</p>
<p>None. It is humans that do this.</p>
<p>Instead of making dog fighting an incredibly serious offence, the dogs are marginalised. Which forces the breed under ground, meaning the only pit bulls around are those that have been used for fighting. The well behaved, even tempered pit bulls and Amstaffs in the world can&#8217;t reproduce because of Breed Specific Legislation (&#8220;BSL&#8221;). So only the fighting dogs, the mean dogs, the problem children, get to reproduce. Bringing another generation of dysfunctional dog to the world, justifying the State&#8217;s move to marginalise the breed and legislate against it.</p>
<p>Have you ever met a pit bull or Amstaff? I have been nearly licked to death by these lovely creatures.  They can&#8217;t &#8220;lock their jaws&#8221;. They are American heroes. Brilliant hunters. Protectors of children.</p>
<p>But instead, States around the world, unable to shackle their citizens in the way they wish, instead, shackles their dogs. Not just any dogs. Pit bulls.</p>
<p>BSL is short for Bull S*** Legislation.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Punish the deed. Not the Breed, folks.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">milesjacobs</media:title>
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		<title>Jock Barnes</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2008/11/26/jock-barnes/</link>
		<comments>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2008/11/26/jock-barnes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 11:23:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>milesdavid</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/?p=14</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My maternal grandfather&#8217;s brother in law (yeah, okay, so a stretch) was a bloke by the name of Harold Barnes &#8211; Jock. I never met him but wish I did. Jock was apparently a hell of a guy, anarcho-syndicalist, unionist, wharfie, striker, someone who took it to the politicians. Here are some comments on him [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=14&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My maternal grandfather&#8217;s brother in law (yeah, okay, so a stretch) was a bloke by the name of Harold Barnes &#8211; Jock.</p>
<p>I never met him but wish I did.</p>
<p>Jock was apparently a hell of a guy, anarcho-syndicalist, unionist, wharfie, striker, someone who took it to the politicians.</p>
<p>Here are some comments on him that I have found:</p>
<p><strong>Harold &#8220;Jock&#8221; Barnes</strong> (1907 &#8211; 2000) was a <a title="New Zealand" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/New_Zealand"><span style="color:#002bb8;">New Zealand</span></a> <a class="mw-redirect" title="Trade unionism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Trade_unionism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">trade unionist</span></a> and <a class="mw-redirect" title="Syndicalist" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Syndicalist"><span style="color:#002bb8;">syndicalist</span></a>, leader of the <a class="new" title="Waterside Workers Union (page does not exist)" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/w/index.php?title=Waterside_Workers_Union&amp;action=edit&amp;redlink=1"><span style="color:#ba0000;">Waterside Workers Union</span></a> from 1944 to 1952. He was heavily involved in the <a title="1951 New Zealand waterfront dispute" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/1951_New_Zealand_waterfront_dispute"><span style="color:#002bb8;">1951 New Zealand waterfront dispute</span></a>. His memoir &#8220;<em>Never A White Flag&#8221;</em> was published in 1998.</p>
<p>If they give a prize for most fascinating book of the year this is a strong contender. The ‘fifty one’, with its potent mixture of strike and lock-out, of de-registration, use of armed forces, and frightening emergency regulations, is a key element in the mythologies of the industrial left in this country. As a contribution to that tale this book is unparalleled, even by comparison with <a id="name-123150-mention" class="topic-ref mention" title="Dick Scott. Author, journalist." href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123150.html">Dick Scott</a>’s classic <em>151 Days</em>. And yet it is also a curiosity. This has nothing to do with its absolutely partisan approach which is, indeed, a large measure of its strength and power. Obviously the events it describes are as fresh to <a id="name-005121-mention" class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Jock Barnes</a> at ninety as they were when they happened nearly half a century ago. This is understandable and entirely excusable: to have been the personal focus of the malice of a government armed with the Public Safety Conservation Act would rather tend to leave an indelible impression on a bloke. But it is a curiosity, too, because the New Zealand <a class="topic-ref mention" title="Jock Barnes" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Barnes</a> describes is a completely foreign country—a place where the entire Cabinet could concern itself on an almost blow-by-blow basis with whether hatch covers were more safely raised by crane or by hand!</p>
<p><a class="topic-ref mention" title="Jock Barnes" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Barnes</a>’s memoir is also a salutary reminder that we once lived in a country which was as prone to McCarthyism as its progenitor. He quotes then National parliamentarian <a id="name-123151-mention" class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123151.html">Dean Eyre</a> (later to be notorious during the Vietnam War for his ‘basinful of bombs on Hanoi’ remark) as saying of the watersiders that the fifty one dispute was part of an international communist conspiracy and suggesting that the union leaders should be shot. None of them were communists and the dispute had nothing to do with such matters, as <a id="name-202463-mention" class="topic-ref mention" title="Maurice Shadbolt. Novelist and short story writer." href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-202463.html">Maurice Shadbolt</a> makes clear in <cite class="published"><a id="name-123152-mention" class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123152.html">One of Ben’s</a></cite>. That didn’t stop the hysterical rightwingers who thought otherwise from shouting it and using the red scare to bring down the unions. <a class="topic-ref mention" title="Jock Barnes" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Barnes</a>’s memoir makes clear just how nasty the time was.</p>
<p>But there is an important question behind the fifty one which still needs to be answered. Famous event that it was, what has it signified over the succeeding half-century for workers and their unions? The book itself does not directly provide an answer although it implies one. This implication is more bluntly addressed in an excellent introduction by <a class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123149.html">Tom Bramble</a> of the University of Queensland. Workers are primarily defeated by their own leaders. In the case of the fifty one, the National government would never have prevailed if the union movement had not been divided and a significant portion of its leadership had not lined up with the Holland government. Rather than reflect on the betrayal by <a id="name-123153-mention" class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123153.html">Fintan Patrick Walsh</a>, subsequent generations of union leaders have concluded that the union movement cannot ultimately prevail against a determined government. <a class="topic-ref mention" title="Tom Bramble" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-123149.html">Bramble</a> argues that such a conclusion is nonsense and the experience of the Public Service Association in the early eighties supports his reading.</p>
<p>According to the publisher, the first run of <a class="topic-ref mention" title="Jock Barnes" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Barnes</a>’s memoir sold out in remarkably quick time; one hopes that it finds a ready audience among current union leadership and that publication of <a class="topic-ref mention" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wp-admin/name-005121.html">Jock Barnes</a>’s account of the events of fifty one (in conjunction with recent events across the Tasman) will encourage a more robust and courageous approach to defending the rights of workers in the future.</p>
<p>Jock Barnes was the syndicalist president of the Auckland Watersiders Union during the lockout of 1951. Jock and the working class families he represented were the bearers of a tradition that stretched back 60 years, to the rise of &#8220;new unionism&#8221; in the 1890s, a grassroots unionism known as syndicalism.</p>
<p>There have been four major confrontations between the working class and bosses in this country: the Maritime Strike of 1890, the Waihi Goldminers&#8217; Strike of 1912, and the Waterfront Strikes of 1951. And in all of these upheavals, syndicalism has played a major role.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Jock Barnes grew up as part of this continuous movement and was later a central character in it. It was a movement of people fighting back. Let&#8217;s take a closer look. The following is the first letter Jock wrote to <em>Direct Action</em>, dated 21 October 1992.</p>
<p> </p>
<ul>Dear Comrades<br />
My thanks for your letters and copies of <em>Direct Action</em>. I like the name. It is the only language the master class understands. You are correct in saying that N.Z. has a tradition of syndicalism. I can speak of the twenties, thirties and forties which many fighters could be more correctly described as anarcho-syndicalists than as members of the Communist Party. Alex Galbraith, Alex Dreman, Roy Stanley, Fred Muller, Henry Morington Smith, Vic Wilcox and others.The Waterside Workers Union, particularly Auckland branch, had a strong syndicalist philosophy. We realised that to build a strong fighting union required more than just waterfront work and demonstrated our ability to successfully operate and control other ventures.</p>
<p>We maintained three bands. A senior and a boys silver band and a highland pipe band. The senior silver band was A grade and had won N.Z. championships. The boys &#8211; aged 11 to 14 at their first appearance &#8211; won the C grade championships. They were invited to Australia where they won the b grade championships of Australia and N.Z. We had debating teams, bowls, cricket, rugby league, soccer and our own benefit society. An annual picnic with attendances of up to 15,000. The importance of catering for, educating our women folk and making them an integral part was fully realised. Regular dances and socials were held and ladies committees established.</p>
<p>The value of this was seen in 1951, when I believe as never before in our country, women stood solid and fought with their men. We had a union so badly needed but so lacking today.</p>
<p>Yours in solidarity<br />
Jock Barnes</p>
<p> </ul>
<p>The second letter is dated 2 January 1994.</p>
<ul>Dear F.<br />
Of Dick Schofield I cannot tell you much that you do not know. He was a close friend of Alex Dreman and they were a pair sadly missing today. That, as you know, was in the Great Depression of the late twenties and early thirties. I wonder at times if that breed is nearly extinct.Alex and I were later close associates in the watersiders as was Johnny Mitchell. Particularly in Auckland branch where we had veterans of the 1913 Waihi Strikes. Men like Paddy Rooney and Charlie Opie who had been goaled and from whom I learned a lot. Many ex-seamen who knew what it was all about and three at least, IWW.</p>
<p>If it is the same Bill Murdock, I knew him well. His son jack and I were admitted to the union in early 1935 and were close friends. Bill was a big man with a big voice and there was seldom a meeting when it was not heard.</p>
<p>They lived at Reinter Ave close to Eden Park. Jack, with quite a few of our members, was a c.o. [conscientious objector] in the war and was in a concentration camp for the duration. They were kept on our books as union members and Jack was very active in &#8217;51. I saw him last at our 40th reunion. Of a later generation of men like Tom Spiller and Taffy Patterson, who fought in the Spanish War.</p>
<p>I often think that had a union like ours been around ten years ago the Labour renegades and their collaborators would have been stopped in their tracks.</p>
<p>Many thanks for the <em>Industrial Worker</em>. It is a long time since I saw one.</p>
<p>In solidarity<br />
Jock Barnes</p>
<p><div class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 123px"><img title="Jock" src="http://www.thrall.orconhosting.net.nz/Images/jock.jpg" alt="Harold Barnes - Jock" width="113" height="179" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Harold Barnes - Jock</p></div></ul>
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<p><strong>JOCK BARNES</p>
<p></strong>The leader of the watersiders in New Zealand&#8217;s most bitter postwar union struggle, Jock Barnes, died on May 31, aged 92.</p>
<p>Originally a civil servant, he went on to the Auckland waterfront in his mid-twenties, studied law and served six years on the Mt Albert Borough Council before being elected president of the Auckland union in 1942 and of the national union in 1944.</p>
<p>When Peter Fraser&#8217;s Labour Government and Fintan Patrick Walsh&#8217;s Federation of Labour became increasingly concerned about the threat of communism after the Second World War, Jock Barnes&#8217; wharfies stayed staunchly socialist.</p>
<p>In 1951, they demanded a wage increase, and imposed an overtime ban to put pressure on their employers.</p>
<p>They were then locked out, and what was by then a National Government passed emergency regulations making it illegal to help the Watersiders&#8217; Union.</p>
<p>The union was deregistered.</p>
<p>Mr Barnes stumped the country for the wharfies, drawing crowds of 4000 at the Auckland Town Hall and 2500 in Wellington.</p>
<p>He was jailed for two months for libelling a police officer.</p>
<p>Although the union lost, Mr Barnes continued to fight to the end. In the last few months of his life, he was battling Metrowater over his water bill.</p>
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		<title>Anarcho-Syndicalism</title>
		<link>http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/2008/11/26/anarcho-syndicalism/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 06:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Anarcho-syndicalism is a branch of anarchism which focuses on the labour movement. Syndicalisme is a French word meaning &#8220;trade unionism&#8220; – hence, the &#8220;syndicalism&#8221; qualification. Anarcho-syndicalists view labour unions as a potential force for revolutionary social change, replacing capitalism and the State with a new society democratically self-managed by workers. Anarcho-syndicalists seek to abolish the wage [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=milesdavid.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5550913&amp;post=9&amp;subd=milesdavid&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Anarcho-syndicalism</strong> is a branch of <a title="Anarchism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Anarchism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">anarchism</span></a> which focuses on the <a class="mw-redirect" title="Labour union" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Labour_union"><span style="color:#002bb8;">labour movement</span></a>. <em>Syndicalisme</em> is a French word meaning &#8220;<a class="mw-redirect" title="Trade unionism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Trade_unionism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">trade unionism</span></a>&#8220; – hence, the &#8220;<a title="Syndicalism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Syndicalism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">syndicalism</span></a>&#8221; qualification. Anarcho-syndicalists view labour unions as a potential force for revolutionary social change, replacing <a title="Capitalism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Capitalism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">capitalism</span></a> and the <a title="State" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/State"><span style="color:#002bb8;">State</span></a> with a new society democratically self-managed by workers. Anarcho-syndicalists seek to abolish the wage system, regarding it as &#8220;<a title="Wage slavery" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Wage_slavery"><span style="color:#002bb8;">wage slavery</span></a>,&#8221; and state or private ownership of the means of production, which they believe lead to class divisions. Not all seek to abolish money per se. Ralph Chaplin states that &#8220;the ultimate aim of the General Strike as regards wages is to give to each producer the full product of his labor. The demand for better wages becomes revolutionary only when it is coupled with the demand that the exploitation of labor must cease.&#8221;</p>
<p>Anarcho-syndicalism remains a popular and active school of anarchism today and has many supporters as well as many currently active organizations. Anarcho-syndicalist trade unionists differ on anarchist economic arrangements from a <a title="Collectivist anarchism" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Collectivist_anarchism"><span style="color:#002bb8;">collectivist anarchism</span></a> type economic system to an <a class="mw-redirect" title="Anarcho-communist" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Anarcho-communist"><span style="color:#002bb8;">anarcho-communist</span></a> economic system.</p>
<p>The basic principles of anarcho-syndicalism are workers&#8217; solidarity, <a title="Direct action" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Direct_action"><span style="color:#002bb8;">direct action</span></a>, and <a title="Workers' self-management" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Workers%27_self-management"><span style="color:#002bb8;">workers&#8217; self-management</span></a>. Workers’ solidarity means that anarcho-syndicalists believe all workers, no matter what their <a title="Gender" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Gender"><span style="color:#002bb8;">gender</span></a> or <a title="Ethnic group" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Ethnic_group"><span style="color:#002bb8;">ethnic group</span></a>, are in a similar situation in regard to their bosses (<a title="Class consciousness" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Class_consciousness"><span style="color:#002bb8;">class consciousness</span></a>). Furthermore, it means that, in a capitalist system, any gains or losses made by some workers from or to bosses will eventually affect all workers. Therefore, to liberate themselves, all workers must support one another in their <a title="Class conflict" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Class_conflict"><span style="color:#002bb8;">class conflict</span></a>. Anarcho-syndicalists believe that only <a title="Direct action" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Direct_action"><span style="color:#002bb8;">direct action</span></a> – that is, action concentrated on directly attaining a goal, as opposed to indirect action, such as electing a representative to a government position – will allow workers to liberate themselves. Moreover, anarcho-syndicalists believe that workers’ organizations – the organizations that struggle against the wage system, and which, in anarcho-syndicalist theory, will eventually form the basis of a new society – should be self-managing. They should not have bosses or &#8220;business agents&#8221;; rather, the workers should be able to make all the decisions that affect them themselves.</p>
<p><a title="Rudolf Rocker" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Rudolf_Rocker"><span style="color:#002bb8;">Rudolf Rocker</span></a> was one of the most popular voices in the anarcho-syndicalist movement. He dedicated himself to the organisation of <a class="mw-redirect" title="Jewish" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/Jewish"><span style="color:#002bb8;">Jewish</span></a> immigrant workers in <a title="East End of London" href="http://milesdavid.wordpress.com/wiki/East_End_of_London"><span style="color:#002bb8;">London&#8217;s East End</span></a> and led the 1912 garment workers strike. He outlined a view of the origins of the movement, what it sought, and why it was important to the future of labour in his 1938 pamphlet <em>Anarcho-Syndicalism</em>.</p>
<p>In his article <em>Anarchism and Anarcho-Syndicalism</em>, Rocker points out that the anarcho-syndicalist union has a dual purpose, &#8220;1. To enforce the demands of the producers for the safeguarding and raising of their standard of living; 2. To acquaint the workers with the technical management of production and economic life in general and prepare them to take the socio-economic organism into their own hands and shape it according to socialist principles.&#8221; In short, laying the foundations of the new society &#8220;within the shell of the old.&#8221; Up to the First World War and the Bolshevik Revolution, anarcho-syndicalist unions and organizations were the dominant actors in the revolutionary left.</p>
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